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Kloge og kølige overvejelser af Richard Tol


Kloge og kølige overvejelser af Richard Tol28-12-2014 22:55
N A Nielsen
★★★☆☆
(896)
Eskatologiske skrækscenarier er comme il faut, når talen falder på klima. Skriver man ikke under på disse dommedagsagtige profetier kategoriseres man hurtigt af de frelste som "notorisk klimabenægter" eller "medlem af Saxobank" eller lignende. Jeg citerer en anden debattør


En dyne af politisk korrekthed har fordummet både politikere, journalister og offentlighed til at mene, at ingen pris kan være høj nok, når det drejer sig om at standse "den globale opvarmning". Men som eksperten i klimaøkonomiske spørgsmål, den anerkendte forsker Richard Tol, påpeger, så kan prisen meget hurtigt blive alt for høj.


The current evidence, weak and incomplete as it may be, as summarized by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, suggests that moderate warming—say, what we might expect around the year 2075—would make the average person feel as if she had lost 0.2 to 2.0 percent of her income.
In other words, a century worth of climate change is about as bad as losing a year of economic growth.

Larger climate change would have more profound impacts. Negative surprises are more likely than positive surprises. But even if we take this into account, a century of climate change is not worse than losing a decade of growth. So if, as Bjørn Lomborg has been at pains to point out, we "spend" the equivalent of a decade of growth or more trying to mitigate climate change, we will not have spent wisely.

Climate change is a problem, but at least as an economics problem, it is certainly not the biggest problem humankind faces. The euro crisis knocked off a third of the income of the people in Greece in five years' time. Climate change does not even come close. And the people of Syria wish their problems were as trivial as those of the Greeks. Climate change is not even that large compared to other environmental problems. Urban air pollution kills millions of people per year in Asia. Indoor air pollution kills millions of people per year in Africa. The health problems related to climate change are unlikely to cause similar carnage before the end of the Century

[...]

A fifth of official development aid is now diverted to climate policy. Money that used to be spent on strengthening the rule of law, better education for girls, and improved health care, for instance, is now used to plug methane leaks and destroy hydrofluorocarbons. Some donors no longer support the use of coal, by far the cheapest way to generate electricity. Instead, poor people are offered intermittent wind power and biomass energy, which drives up the price of food. But the self-satisfaction environmentalists derive from these programs does not put food on poor peoples' tables.

Redigeret d. 28-12-2014 23:06
RE: Politisk korrekthed30-12-2014 16:23
thorkil
☆☆☆☆☆
(33)
En dyne af politisk korrekthed har fordummet både politikere, journalister og offentlighed til at mene, at ingen pris kan være høj nok, når det drejer sig om at standse "den globale opvarmning".

Ja prisen vil blive for høj hvis vi vil satse på den såkaldt vedvarende energi (sol og vind)

Med hjælp fra Norge og Sverige kan lille Danmark måske lige netop betale sig fra det.
Men for Europa som helhed og nok mest Tyskland, er det aldeles umuligt.
Der er kun en farbar vej til billig og ren energi og vi må arbejde på at få det ind i hovedet på vore politikere.
Kernekraft.
Deltag aktivt i debatten Kloge og kølige overvejelser af Richard Tol:

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